Data

States Face Revenue Decline Amid Economic Challenges

BY: 
Stephen Ryan, CRO
November 15, 2024

Several US states are reporting significant declines in tax revenue for Q3 over the same period last year, highlighting economic challenges that could impact public services and budget planning. Notable drops in revenue collection have been reported in Georgia, South Dakota, Missouri and Alabama, with declines mostly driven by decreases in individual income taxes, corporate income taxes, and sales taxes.

Georgia: A 3.5% Drop in General Revenue

Georgia's Department of Revenue reported a 3.5% decrease in general revenue for October 2024 compared to the previous year, amounting to nearly $2.5 billion. The largest contributors to this decline were individual income tax revenues, which fell by nearly $120 million to roughly $1.3 billion, and corporate income tax revenues, which were almost $63 million lower, a striking 47.4% drop fromOctober 2023. Overall, general fund receipts for the period from July to October were $61 million less than the same period in 2023.

 

South Dakota: Tax Revenue Down by $42 Million

South Dakota reported a nearly $42 million decline in total revenue collection from July to October compared to the prior fiscal year. The state collected $868 million in the first four months of its fiscal year, a significant reduction from the $910 million collected in the previous fiscal year. Net sales and use tax revenue dropped by $9 million, and the contractor's excise tax collection fell by $2.6 million. The state's severance taxes also saw a decline of about $2.5 million.

 

Missouri: A $135 Million Revenue Decline

Missouri faced a $135 million decrease in tax collections from July to October, with total revenue at $3.91 billion, down from $4.04 billion during the same period last year. Sales and use tax revenue fell by 3%, and individual income taxr evenue dropped by 7%, equating to $2.46 billion. Corporate income tax revenue also declined by 9%, totaling $284 million.

 

Alabama: Tax Revenue Down $35 Million

Alabama Department of Revenue reported that general revenue collection totaled $926 million in Q3, marking a decrease of $35 million compared to the same month in the previous fiscal year. Despite modest gains in sales and use tax collections, the overall drop in Alabama's revenue was driven by steep declines in both individual and corporate income tax revenues, which fell by 16% and 15% respectively.

How Technology Can Help States Recover Lost Revenue

As states grapple with declining tax revenues, innovative technology solutions can play a critical role in mitigating losses and improving tax compliance. IVIX specializes in leveraging advanced data analytics and artificial intelligence to assist government agencies in identifying and recovering uncollected tax revenue.

  1. Enhanced Tax Compliance Monitoring: IVIX’s AI-driven technology can analyze large volumes of business activity data and financial data from across the web to detect anomalies and underreported income. By automating the identification of potential tax noncompliance, tax authorities can proactively address tax gaps and recover lost revenue.
  2. Identifying Income and Sales Tax Non-Compliance: IVIX has the capability to detect both income and sales tax non-compliance. By analyzing financial transactions and business activities, the platform ensures that all sources of taxable income are reported correctly and that sales taxes are accurately collected and remitted. This comprehensive approach helps close significant tax gaps in both individual and business tax collections.
  3. Combating Tax Evasion: IVIX solutions can uncover hidden income streams and fraudulent activities, such as unreported business earnings or misclassified expenses, which often contribute to revenue shortfalls. IVIX helps states enforce tax laws more effectively and ensure fairness in the tax system.
  4. Tapping OSINT for Better Visibility: IVIX leverages Open-Source Intelligence (OSINT) to identify taxable entities operating within jurisdictions. By analyzing publicly available data, such as business registrations, social media activity, and real estate records, IVIX can uncover entities that may be operating under the radar and not fulfilling their tax obligations. This proactive approach ensures that all taxable activities are accounted for, further boosting revenue collection efforts.
  5. Optimizing Audit and Enforcement Efforts: IVIX can prioritize high-value audit cases, enabling tax authorities to allocate resources more efficiently. By focusing on the most significant opportunities for revenue recovery, states can maximize the impact of their enforcement efforts.
  6. Data-Driven Policy Insights: Beyond enforcement, IVIX provides actionable insights that can inform future tax policy decisions. By understanding patterns in tax compliance and economic behavior, state governments can craft data-driven policies that stabilize and enhance revenue streams.

 

Conclusion

The decline in tax revenue across multiple states underscores the need for innovative approaches to revenue collection and tax compliance. With IVIX’s advanced technology, which identifies both income and sales tax non-compliance and leverages OSINT data, state governments can strengthen their financial health, ensuring they can continue to provide essential services to their citizens. As economic challenges persist, leveraging data-driven solutions will be crucial in securing a stable fiscal future.